Models behaving badly: Understanding the poor performance of Covid-19 projections

Kamal Das

When the novel Corona virus affected human societies, many experts created projections of how the disease would spread. Most of these efforts now appear fairly poor. Understanding why they did not capture the reality is a useful step in doing a better job during such events in future. This article looks to understand why they failed to capture reality and looks to predict the spread of corona virus using various analytical tools.

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